Thunderpick World Championship 2025 Predictions: TWC Power Rankings

Disclaimer: Predictions are based on opinion and should not be construed as betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future outcomes, and power rankings are subject to change. Odds and VRS rankings are accurate as of October 9, 2025, and can shift at a moment’s notice.

Eight Counter-Strike 2 (CS2) teams are set to compete in the thrilling conclusion of the Thunderpick World Championship (TWC) 2025 event, on LAN in Malta. From October 15 to 19, the teams will compete for glory and their share of the $750,000 prize pool—but who are the favorites?

To assist you in ascertaining the chances of each competitor, we’ve got power rankings for the TWC 2025 Finals to share, considering the latest possible information and CS2 betting odds.

Soldier beside Thunderpick World Championship 2025 logo.

Image source: Thunderpick

TWC 2025 Finals Power Rankings: All CS2 Teams Ranked

The TWC 2025 Finals comprises four direct invites and four teams who punched their tickets to Malta via the Closed Qualifier event. To create our power rankings, we considered past performance, matchup histories, and Valve Regional Standings (VRS), plus the latest bookmaker odds.

For the uninitiated, odds represent a bookmaker’s confidence in an outcome occurring. In our power rankings, we use the decimal odds format (calculated as Bet x Odds = Payout). However, we’ve also provided the American odds format and implied probability for good measure.

FURIA (#1)

For the first time since 2017, FURIA lifted an S-Tier LAN trophy at FISSURE Playground 2, beating The MongolZ in a dramatic 3-2 Grand Final. With momentum on their side, and two-time Major Championship winner Gabriel “FalleN” Toledo leading the charge, FURIA (#3 on VRS) is our top pick.

Odds show that FURIA is the slight favorite to lift the TWC 2025 trophy. With 2.00 decimal odds (+100 American), a 50% implied probability of winning, and 1.60 (-167) indicating a 62.5% probability of making it to the Grand Final, FURIA is almost certainly the team to beat.

Having said that, it’s an incredibly close call between The MongolZ and FURIA, with both squads worthy of a top spot, making the #1 and #2 positions close to a coin flip decision.

FURIA roster:

  • Yuri “yuurih” Boian
  • Kaike “KSCERATO” Cerato
  • Mareks “YEKINDAR” Gaļinskis
  • Danil “molodoy” Golubenko
  • Gabriel “FalleN” Toledo (IGL)
  • Sidnei “sidde” Macedo (Coach)

The MongolZ (#2)

The MongolZ, Esports World Cup 2025 champions, is the second-highest-ranked team (#5 on VRS) at the TWC 2025 Finals. The Mongolian side is also the defending champions, having won the Thunderpick World Championship last year.

Odds show that The MongolZ are one of the favorites, with 2.85 (+185), indicating a 35.09% probability of winning the tournament. Odds of 1.80 (-125) indicate a 55.56% probability of making it to the best-of-three Grand Final.

Taken together, The MongolZ is our #2 pick to go all the way. If they can shake off some poor recent results at ESL Pro League (EPL) Season 22, they can become the first back-to-back TWC winners.

The MongolZ roster:

  • Azbayar “Senzu” Munkhbold
  • Usukhbayar “910” Banzragch
  • Sodbayar “Techno4K” Munkhbold
  • Ayush “mzinho” Batbold
  • Garidmagnai “bLitz” Byambasuren (IGL)
  • Erdenedalai “maaRaa” Bayanbat (Coach)
The MongolZ team after winning Thunderpick World Championship

Image source: Thunderpick

At EPL Season 22, NAVI (#7 on VRS) displayed renewed form, instilling confidence that they can still go toe-to-toe with the world’s best CS2 teams. Led by Aleksi “Aleksib” Virolainen, NAVI has momentum, with newcomer Drin “makazze” Shaqiri finding his footing, and headshot machine Valerii “b1t” Vakhovskyi powering up.

Odds of 5.00 (+400) indicate NAVI has a 20% probability of lifting the TWC 2025 trophy. With 2.10 odds (+110) of a Grand Final appearance (47.62% probability), there’s confidence the team could make a podium finish.

NAVI roster:

  • Valerii “b1t” Vakhovskyi
  • Mihai “iM” Ivan
  • Ihor “w0nderful” Zhdanov
  • Drin “makazze” Shaqiri
  • Aleksi “Aleksib” Virolainen (IGL)
  • Andrii “B1ad3” Horodenskyi (Coach)

Aurora Gaming (#4)

The Turkish powerhouse has enough firepower to beat almost any team in the world if they are in peak condition. Despite failing to qualify for the EPL Season 22 Playoffs Stage, Aurora Gaming remains one of the top squads in the world, currently ranked #8 on the VRS.

In fact, Aurora Gaming boasts the same chances as NAVI of lifting the TWC 2025 trophy. Odds of 5.00 (+400) indicate a 20% probability of winning the event, and odds of 2.60 (+160) for a Grand Final appearance (38.46% probability).

Aurora Gaming roster:

  • İsmailсan “XANTARES” Dörtkardeş
  • Ali “Wicadia” Haydar Yalçın
  • Özgür “woxic” Eker
  • Samet “jottAAA” Köklü
  • Engin “MAJ3R” Küpeli (IGL)
  • Sezgin “Fabre” Kalaycı (Coach)

OG (#5)

At the TWC Closed Qualifier, OG impressed by beating an in-form M80 with a decisive 2-0 score in the first round. To qualify for the TWC 2025 Finals, OG managed to beat German side BIG in a close 2-1 affair. Currently sitting at #31 on VRS, the squad continues to improve.

Odds of 20.00 (+1900) show an implied probability of 5% for OG to lift the trophy, and odds of 10.00 (+900) indicate there’s roughly a 10% chance of the team claiming a spot in the Grand Final. The team came close at last year’s event, placing 4th.

OG roster:

  • Olle “spooke” Grundström
  • Nico “nicoodoz” Tamjidi
  • Adam “adamb” Ångström
  • Rafael “arrozdoce” Wing
  • Christoffer “Chr1zN” Storgaard (IGL)
  • Lambert “Lambert” Prigent (Coach)

Imperial Esports (#6)

Ranked #35 on the VRS, Imperial Esports punched their ticket to Malta via the Closed Qualifier, beating Team Next Level with a solid 2-0 score and eliminating Legacy 2-0 in an exciting Brazilian derby.

Odds of 30.00 (+2900) show a 3.33% implied probability of Imperial Esports winning the TWC 2025 Finals. The South American outfit has a 6.67% chance of reaching the Grand Final, with odds of 15.00 (+1400).

Imperial Esports roster:

  • Kaiky “noway” Santos
  • Santino “try” Rigal
  • Marcelo “chelo” Cespedes
  • Felipe “skullz” Medeiros
  • Vinicius “VINI” Figueiredo (IGL)
  • Rafael “zakk” Fernandes (Coach)

9z Team (#7)

After winning the TWC South American Series 2 online event, 9z Team (#58 on VRS) earned a Closed Qualifier spot and impressed by eliminating favorites BetBoom Team in a dramatic 2-1 reverse sweep. This was not long before smashing through PARIVISION with a 2-0 win to book a place at the Finals.

Odds of 50.00 (+4900) signal a 2% implied probability of 9z Team’s underdog story to end in a tournament win. The chances of appearing in the final are also extremely low, with odds of 25.00 (+2400) indicating an implied probability of 4%.

9z Team roster:

  • Matias “HUASOPEEK” Ibañez
  • Luca “Luken” Nadotti
  • Guilherme “levi” Godoy
  • Lucas “urban0” Urbano
  • Maximiliano “max” Gonzalez (IGL)
  • Bruno “BIT” Lima (Coach)

Team Venom (#8)

Team Venom (#57 on VRS) is one of the clear underdogs. Despite their lower ranking, the Polish stack impressed at the TWC 2025 Closed Qualifier, eliminating one of the favorites, Ninjas in Pyjamas, with a 2-0 win, and beating Nemiga 2-0 to earn a spot at the TWC 2025 Finals.

Odds of 250.00 (+24900) show an implied probability of only 0.40%, a very low chance of Team Venom winning the tournament. For a Grand Final appearance, the odds are 125.00 (+12400), with an implied probability of 0.80%. Team Venom winning the TWC 2025 Finals is the epitome of a long shot.

Team Venom roster:

  • Alan “Flayy” Krupa
  • Kamil “Sobol” Sobolewski
  • Paweł “innocent” Mocek
  • Konrad “Qlocuu” Klocek
  • Oskar “hfah” Wroński
  • Grzegorz “SZPERO” Dziamałek (Coach)

FAQs

Who are the favorites to win TWC 2025?

FURIA and The MongolZ are favorites, followed by Aurora Gaming and NAVI.

How are these TWC 2025 Finals power rankings decided?

To determine our TWC 2025 Finals power rankings, we conducted thorough research on expected team form, matchup histories, and performances on LAN. We further considered the most recent VRS rankings and bookmaker odds.

Where can I watch the TWC 2025 Finals?

You can watch all the CS2 action from the TWC 2025 Finals via the ThunderpickTV Twitch, Thunderpick Kick, or Thunderpick YouTube channels.

What is the TWC 2025 Finals schedule?

The 2025 Thunderpick World Championship is scheduled to run from October 15 to 19, 2025.

Who are the TWC 2025 Finals underdogs?

The clear underdog at TWC 2025 is Team Venom, with a 0.40% chance of winning and a 0.80% chance of making it to the Grand Final.

References

  1. ThunderpickTV (Twitch)
  2. ThunderPick Stream (Kick)
  3. Thunderpick (YouTube)