OGA Dota PIT Season 4 China analysis and tournament predictions

Dota 2 OGA PIT returns with the fourth season, showcasing China’s vast competitive scene. What is different this time around is the sudden rise of many strong Chinese teams after the great Chinese roster shuffle. The S-tier teams in China have all been invited to the event.

Here’s our breakdown and overall analysis for this event.

Dota 2 OGA PIT China

One Game Agency

OGA Dota PIT S4 Format and Teams

The tournament features a rather traditional format, where eight teams are divided into two groups, playing single round-robin matches. All matches will be best-of-three, which we believe is just the optimal number of rounds to determine which team prevails.

Regardless, most teams will have the opportunity to redeem themselves in the playoffs, except for each respective group’s bottom team, who will be eliminated. Of course, Playoff matches will also be best-of-three, except the grand finals, which is a best-of-five.

Speaking of the participants, OGA PIT invited the best that China has to offer. Rising stars of the scene, Elephant and Aster  have both been invited. They are followed by many reputable powerhouse teams such as PSG.LGD, EHOME, Vici Gaming and Invictus Gaming. Filling the remaining slots are Team MagMa and Royal Never Give Up (RNG).

Move aside for the champions

The most exciting team to debut last month, team Elephant, has had their fair share of glory and shame. They are notoriously known for their unprofessional management, which apparently doesn’t like making payments. Vici Gaming even prohibited their former player, Zhang “Eurus” Chengjun, from playing at the China Dota2 Pro Cup S2.

This is because Elephant didn’t complete the transfer fee, hence VG had to resort to such drastic measures. That aside, Eurus and his new squad finally redeemed themselves with a glorious showing of strength during the semi-finals versus EHOME.

In their third game, Elephant ended the match with a whopping 154K gold difference, setting a new record for the highest end-game gold difference. After that, they proceed to the grand finals, where they once again swept the floor with Team Aster, crowning them the event’s winners. There’s no doubt that Elephant is a humongous threat at the OGA Dota PIT S4 China as well.

Beware PSG’s Techies

The foul trench of Techies players gleefully laughing at both allies and enemies suffering, just for fun’s sake. We reckon that 99 percent of the Dota 2 player base would agree that Techies’ mine-planting atrocity is an awful experience.

Nonetheless, several professional players have managed to utilize the hero to great heights that even pros at their level find it traumatizing to face. Meet PSG.LGD’s latest addition to their roster, Zhao “XinQ” Zixing. For the most part, he seems like the average position 4 support player who does most things right. Little did Elephant knew that they were about to play a gruesome 90-minute game.

At the China Dota2 Pro Cup S2, PSG.LGD faced Elephant during their quarterfinal match. After a clutching draw, it came down to the decisive game 3 and PSG.LGD brought out the cannons. Despite Elephant’s sheer advantage, they couldn’t secure the game as their hard carry player, Maybe, kept falling for cluster-bombs, which instantly killed him.

Nevertheless, the series was too close and PSG.LGD is still a fearsome team coming into this tournament.

Predictions and things to watch out for

Frankly, the Chinese teams have all grown tremendously since their major roster shuffle. It certainly is fascinating how a mere change in roster could benefit many teams. Whether it’s the refreshing start of the season or the synergy among new allies, the Chinese scene will undoubtedly produce some TI-winning competitors as we creep closer to the upcoming Dota 2 Pro Circuit season.

Dark horses can invlude Team Aster, the other finalist at the China Dota2 Pro Cup S2. Vici Gaming and EHOME also put up a decent performance during their runs and have notable players all around. As for Elephant, they shouldn’t be too comfortable with their recent victory as it’s anybody’s game at the OGA Dota 2 PIT S4 China, live from December 3-12.

From Group A, we expect EHOME t0 come out on top trailed by Vici Gaming and RNG. Magma should be the team eliminated, likely ending up defeated three times. In Group B, we can expect a tight battle between Elephant and PSG.LGD once again. Team Aster should narrowly squeeze by in 3rd, which would mean Invictus Gaming will be the team eliminated.

Based on our group predictions, you’ll have at least 11 easy matches to bet on at the event. The heavy favorites have fairly low coefficients, so do not expect to make too much on outright bets. Correct scores however are a real bargain.

Read next: Dota 2 teams are re-shuffling their rosters ahead of the holiday season